Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.810312 4.065372 4.339029 4.656278 5.016269 5.414910 5.893768
2024-10-06 3.552311 3.906197 4.307230 4.801700 5.404290 6.127886 7.084142
2024-10-13 3.251699 3.655353 4.131853 4.748346 5.545039 6.571841 8.056261
2024-10-20 2.991704 3.423539 3.950710 4.661316 5.628842 6.961412 9.070264
2024-10-27 2.749443 3.190729 3.744065 4.515526 5.613763 7.219045 9.989864
2024-11-03 2.659274 3.140485 3.764671 4.674037 6.049275 8.238373 12.565210
2024-11-10 2.600513 3.125033 3.829142 4.903398 6.639844 9.696747 16.933011
2024-11-17 2.454243 2.980544 3.702093 4.835569 6.749975 10.367480 20.250836
2024-11-24 2.311339 2.830398 3.554027 4.717994 6.757357 10.858164 23.746418
2024-12-01 2.198973 2.715174 3.447026 4.653094 6.849447 11.580130 29.279335
2024-12-08 2.103955 2.618248 3.359175 4.609255 6.975322 12.453835 37.800887
2024-12-15 2.050225 2.576837 3.351248 4.698637 7.385548 14.292026 61.216311
2024-12-22 1.948720 2.469970 3.250093 4.644477 7.560173 15.863574 112.234787
2024-12-29 1.889241 2.421615 3.237486 4.751022 8.139789 19.498527 1205.725341
2025-01-05 1.798216 2.319926 3.130570 4.668125 8.260027 21.729491 NaN
2025-01-12 1.710962 2.218979 3.017287 4.559511 8.295205 23.835789 NaN
2025-01-19 1.622722 2.111819 2.886137 4.400498 8.160686 25.037285 NaN
2025-01-26 1.590759 2.090461 2.898451 4.535743 8.914485 34.348371 NaN
2025-02-02 1.570130 2.085495 2.938582 4.738793 10.007531 55.742188 NaN
2025-02-09 1.511175 2.015382 2.857563 4.663319 10.148456 68.893504 NaN
2025-02-16 1.450873 1.940143 2.762254 4.543794 10.094299 80.250230 NaN
2025-02-23 1.401834 1.881065 2.692548 4.475697 10.223048 104.573262 NaN
2025-03-02 1.359060 1.830294 2.634750 4.428819 10.429886 152.084609 NaN